This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
South Sudan
$643 Volume
80%
Rwanda
$968 Volume
57%
Kenya
$193 Volume
92%
$907 Volume
26%
$7.5K Volume
78%
Somalia
$71 Volume
58%
India
$679 Volume
19%
Republic of the Congo
$9.9K Volume
24%
Ethiopia
$65 Volume
62%
China
$2.3K Volume
19%
Burundi
$200 Volume
64%
Nigeria
$25 Volume
39%
Resolved 1
Uganda
$2K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan leads the field at 68%, with Kenya next at 58%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
The market makes South Sudan the favorite at 68%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (173 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$25.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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