This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
29°C or below
$8.1K Volume
1%
30°C
$6.3K Volume
1%
31°C
$6.5K Volume
1%
32°C
$11.8K Volume
4%
33°C
$7.4K Volume
18%
34°C
$6.2K Volume
46%
35°C
$6.1K Volume
30%
36°C
$4.4K Volume
4%
37°C
$6.1K Volume
1%
38°C
$3.2K Volume
1%
39°C or higher
$4.4K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
Even the leader is cheap - 34°C trades at 45%, 35°C at 28%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
No strong consensus yet: 34°C tops the implied probabilities at just 45%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11 market resolve?
Mark 11 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
Traders have put $230.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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