Flood · Indiana

What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?

$14.5K Volume
01/09/2026 03:59
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Under 14 ft
$1.5K Volume
1%
14–17 ft
$1.7K Volume
1%
17–20 ft
$2.5K Volume
2%
Over 20 ft
$8.8K Volume
99%

This market resolves based on the maximum (peak) gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and August 31, 2026 11:59 PM EDT. Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound, so every possible peak value maps to exactly one bracket (e.g., a peak of exactly 17.00 ft falls in the 17–20 ft bracket; a peak of exactly 14.00 ft falls in the 14–17 ft bracket).

Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true.

USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used should USGS not be available.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?
The current front-runner is Over 20 ft at 99%, ahead of 17–20 ft at 1%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?
Traders currently imply a 99% chance for Over 20 ft. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?
Total traded volume on this market is $14.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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