This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
24°C or below
$778 Volume
1%
25°C
$389 Volume
1%
26°C
$509 Volume
1%
27°C
$1K Volume
1%
28°C
$5.9K Volume
1%
29°C
$14.2K Volume
27%
30°C
$5.3K Volume
47%
31°C
$5K Volume
25%
32°C
$2.8K Volume
6%
33°C
$5.3K Volume
2%
34°C or higher
$1.5K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
The current front-runner is 30°C at 46%, ahead of 29°C at 26%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Traders currently imply a 46% chance for 30°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Total traded volume on this market is $128.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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