This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between August 24 and August 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.)
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
This market only pertains to the daily New York edition prints of the New York Times, also available at https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/. Only the first official release of a qualifying front page will be counted. Any subsequent releases that differ from the initial release will not be considered. Other editions will not be considered. You can find an example of what counts here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nyt-headlines.jpeg.
Culture
· Mentions
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Trump
$813 Volume
99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$400 Volume
99%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
$787 Volume
86%
Fear
$765 Volume
84%
Ukraine / Ukrainian
$393 Volume
95%
Hot / Heat
$635 Volume
65%
$1.1K Volume
66%
Party
$402 Volume
41%
Earthquake / Quake
$1.5K Volume
39%
Woman
$518 Volume
38%
$747 Volume
18%
Gold
16%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30)?
At 99%, Trump has pulled far clear of AI / Artificial Intelligence (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30)?
Traders price Trump at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) market resolve?
Mark 30 Aug 2026 (8 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30)?
Traders have put $11.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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