This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz
$55 Volume
59%
Alexander Zverev
$21 Volume
48%
Novak Djokovic
32%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
$41 Volume
23%
Ben Shelton
20%
Arthur Fils
$21 Volume
21%
Daniil Medvedev
18%
Taylor Fritz
15%
Lorenzo Musetti
13%
Frances Tiafoe
12%
Alex de Minaur
11%
Rafael Jodar
10%
Flavio Cobolli
9%
Alexander Bublik
$120 Volume
9%
Jiri Lehecka
10%
Jakub Mensik
10%
Tommy Paul
10%
Learner Tien
7%
Brandon Nakashima
7%
Casper Ruud
8%
Andrey Rublev
8%
Francisco Cerundolo
$100 Volume
8%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
9%
Valentin Vacherot
7%
Alexander Blockx
7%
Luciano Darderi
6%
Ugo Humbert
5%
Alejandro Tabilo
5%
Cameron Norrie
5%
Patrick Kypson
5%
Michael Zheng
5%
Arthur Rinderknech
5%
Gael Monfils
$413 Volume
3%
Zizou Bergs
4%
Joao Fonseca
3%
Darwin Blanch
3%
Sebastian Gorzny
5%
Jack Kennedy
3%
Dane Sweeny
5%
J.J. Wolf
5%
Juncheng Shang
5%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
5%
Filip Misolic
5%
Carlos Taberner
5%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)?
The current front-runner is Carlos Alcaraz at 58%, ahead of Alexander Zverev at 47%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)?
Traders currently imply a 58% chance for Carlos Alcaraz. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles) market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 10 Sep 2026 (17 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)?
Total traded volume on this market is $771, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles) on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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