Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Lillestrøm SK hold a 65.5% implied probability in the second leg of this UEFA Europa League playoff tie at Åråsen Stadion, with a draw at 21.5% and KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 12.5%. The Norwegian side, fifth in the Eliteserien and winless in their last five matches across competitions, benefit from home advantage after a goalless first leg in Albania where both teams created but squandered chances, including a VAR-overturned goal and a missed open net. Egnatia, Albanian champions with strong recent European results including a 5-1 home win over Shamrock Rovers, have shown resilience on the road but face a tougher test away. Lillestrøm’s recent clean sheets and attacking options position them as favorites, while Egnatia’s counterattacking threat and the high stakes for a league-phase spot keep the draw a realistic outcome in a likely low-scoring affair.