FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC (Resolved)

Bodø/Glimt enter the UEFA Champions League play-off second leg holding a 3-1 aggregate advantage after their first-leg win in Nijmegen, positioning them as clear favorites to advance from Aspmyra Stadion. Their unbeaten run in 16 matches, consistent ability to score first, and strong home record against quality opposition underpin the 79.5% implied probability for a home victory. NEC face significant squad depletion, with multiple absences including defenders Philippe Sandler, Perr Schuurs, and midfielder Sami Ouaissa limiting their depth and pressing options. Recent form shows Bodø/Glimt maintaining high possession and chance creation, while NEC have struggled for consistency. These factors align with trader consensus reflecting the Norwegian side's superior momentum and home advantage in the tie.