FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC

Bodø/Glimt enter the Champions League playoff second leg at Aspmyra holding a commanding 3-1 aggregate lead after a clinical away victory in Nijmegen, where set-piece efficiency and counter-attacking sharpness produced goals from Sondre Brunstad Fet, a converted penalty by Andreas Helmersen, and Haitam Aleesami. The Norwegian side’s mid-season rhythm, unbeaten domestic streak, and deep European pedigree—including last season’s run to the knockout phase—contrast with NEC’s thinner squad and limited continental experience, as multiple defensive absences continue to hamper the Dutch side. Traders price the home side at 64.5% implied probability because the two-goal cushion and artificial-turf home advantage create a high barrier for an NEC comeback, while the 19% draw and 17% away-win lines reflect the realistic but narrower paths for the visitors to force extra time or an unlikely turnarou