Midterms · House Elections

TX-15 House Election Winner

$4.1K Volume
04/11/2026 00:00
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Republican Party
$2.2K Volume
54%
Democratic Party
$1.9K Volume
48%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for TX-15 House Election Winner?
No runaway leader here - Republican Party at 52% versus Democratic Party at 48%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for TX-15 House Election Winner?
Traders give Republican Party a 52% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the TX-15 House Election Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026 (105 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on TX-15 House Election Winner?
$4.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade TX-15 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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