Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Sweden
· Politics
Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats?
<105
$126 Volume
14%
105-109
$1.3K Volume
31%
110-114
$247 Volume
25%
115-119
$80 Volume
23%
120-124
$40 Volume
17%
125-129
$115 Volume
13%
130+
$564 Volume
6%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats?
The current front-runner is 105-109 at 31%, ahead of 115-119 at 23%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats?
Traders currently imply a 31% chance for 105-109. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 13 Sep 2026 (19 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats?
Total traded volume on this market is $2.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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