AIK vs. Hammarby IF

Hammarby IF leads the Allsvenskan table in second place with strong recent form and a potent attack, giving traders clear confidence in their 62.5% implied win probability against mid-table AIK. Multiple key AIK absences, including long-term issues for players like Martin Ellingsen and Ibrahim Cissé plus several suspensions, have thinned their squad depth and contributed to inconsistent results. Hammarby’s better underlying metrics and fewer injury concerns further tilt the matchup, even on the road in the Stockholm derby at Strawberry Arena. AIK’s home results have been mixed this season, limiting their upset potential to the 16.5% range while draws sit at 18%.