This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Yes is trading at 46% and No at 55%, based on live order-book prices on Polymarket. The numbers move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
The market gives Yes a 46% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Supreme Court vacancy in 2026 market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (183 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $17.5K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Supreme Court vacancy in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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