This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
<250K
75%
250K-275K
65%
275K-300K
43%
300K-325K
69%
325K-350K
72%
350K-375K
52%
375K-400K
60%
400K+
48%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout?
The field is wide open: <250K tops it at just 41%, with 300K-325K close behind at 40%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout?
No strong consensus yet: <250K tops the implied probabilities at just 41%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (72 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How can I trade South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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