This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
<600K
77%
600K-675K
55%
675K-750K
44%
750K-825K
64%
825K-900K
48%
900K-975K
50%
975K-1.05M
52%
1.05M+
52%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout?
Even the leader is cheap - <600K trades at 44%, 750K-825K at 38%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout?
Right now the market's best guess is <600K at 44% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (72 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How can I trade Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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