This market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that Situational Awareness has sold any portion of its Anthropic equity by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A sale means a transfer of beneficial ownership of Anthropic equity to a third party for value, including a sale into a tender offer or secondary transaction. A distribution of Anthropic equity in kind to investors, a transfer to a liquidating trust or special purpose vehicle, or a pledge of Anthropic equity as collateral will not qualify. An agreement or stated intention to sell, without a completed sale, will not qualify.
New confirmation of a previously undisclosed sale confirmed to have been made prior to this market’s creation will not qualify.
Confirmation of such a sale must come before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Information made public after this deadline will not qualify regardless of whether it confirms a prior sale.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?
Yes is the outsider here at 27%, while No trades at 74%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 27%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
How much money is trading on Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?
$4.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
August 3188%YesNo
August 2180%YesNo
↑$1.25T86%YesNo
↑$1.5T64%YesNo
↑$900B71%YesNo
↓$800B61%YesNo
40%+94%YesNo
45%+93%YesNo




