The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Odyssey
$1K Volume
31%
The Black Ball
$6.6K Volume
25%
Cry to Heaven
$148 Volume
11%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 Volume
7%
The Invite
$84 Volume
9%
The Social Reckoning
$139 Volume
9%
Project Hail Mary
$117 Volume
7%
Toy Story 5
$174 Volume
4%
Clarissa
$76 Volume
4%
All of a Sudden
$99 Volume
7%
Dune: Part Three
$91 Volume
14%
Wildwood
$103 Volume
7%
The Whisper Man
$99 Volume
21%
Saturn Return
$97 Volume
4%
Ink
$109 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner?
It's a genuine race: Movie A edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of Movie B at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner?
At 50% implied for Movie A, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner market resolve?
Mark 14 Mar 2027 (215 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner?
Traders have put $9.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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