Politics · Elections

OR-01 House Election Winner

$11.8K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
Trade on Polymarket
View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket
Democratic Party
$10.5K Volume
95%
Republican Party
$1.2K Volume
6%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for OR-01 House Election Winner?
Democratic Party dominates the field at 95%; the nearest challenger, Republican Party, trades at just 6%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for OR-01 House Election Winner?
With 95% implied for Democratic Party, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the OR-01 House Election Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (116 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on OR-01 House Election Winner?
$11.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade OR-01 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

Similar Markets

Republican Party88%YesNo
Democratic Party11%YesNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party85%YesNo
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party15%YesNo
Republican Party85%YesNo
Democratic Party13%YesNo
Democratic Party93%YesNo
Republican Party8%YesNo
Democratic Party93%YesNo
Republican Party8%YesNo
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party88%YesNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%YesNo
Republican Party92%YesNo
Democratic Party7%YesNo
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party92%YesNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party8%YesNo
Trade on Polymarket
Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more