This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Politics
· election
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
None
$5.9M Volume
34%
IA
$2M Volume
10%
IA, KS
$2.6M Volume
6%
All 7
$407.8K Volume
4%
KS
$471K Volume
3%
AK, IA
$837.4K Volume
3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$465.9K Volume
3%
AK, IA, KS
$512.5K Volume
2%
IA, KS, ME
$574.2K Volume
2%
AK
$483.5K Volume
2%
IA, ME
$600.9K Volume
2%
TX
$389.9K Volume
1%
ME
$478.8K Volume
1%
IA, OH
$464.2K Volume
1%
OH
$453K Volume
1%
IA, TX
$368.8K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, TX
$482.4K Volume
1%
IA, KS, OH
$315.3K Volume
1%
IA, KS, TX
$439.4K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$261.3K Volume
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$213.3K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH
$333.8K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX
$309.3K Volume
1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$294.1K Volume
1%
AK, KS, OH, TX
$420K Volume
1%
AK, KS
$450.9K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$293.9K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$340.9K Volume
1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$268.4K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, OH
$271K Volume
1%
IA, KS, ME, TX
$370.8K Volume
1%
IA, KS, OH, TX
$213.6K Volume
1%
IA, KS, MI
$816.1K Volume
1%
IA, MI
$428.2K Volume
1%
KS, OH
$318.6K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX
$360.8K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH
$276.9K Volume
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$231.1K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME
$463.1K Volume
1%
IA, KS, ME, OH
$293.5K Volume
1%
IA, KS, MI, OH
$372.5K Volume
1%
AK, IA, TX
$440.9K Volume
1%
KS, TX
$403.2K Volume
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$344.6K Volume
1%
IA, KS, MI, TX
$459.6K Volume
1%
AK, IA, ME
$766.9K Volume
1%
AK, IA, OH
$321.3K Volume
1%
IA, ME, MI
$325.9K Volume
1%
IA, ME, OH
$261.5K Volume
1%
IA, ME, TX
$394.9K Volume
1%
IA, MI, OH
$309.9K Volume
1%
IA, OH, TX
$185.9K Volume
1%
AK, ME
$434.8K Volume
1%
KS, ME
$409.9K Volume
1%
MI
$662.1K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
$2.6M Volume
1%
AK, IA, ME, OH
$342K Volume
1%
AK, IA, ME, TX
$358.6K Volume
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI
$318.4K Volume
1%
AK, KS, ME
$431.4K Volume
1%
AK, KS, TX
$355.7K Volume
1%
IA, MI, TX
$301K Volume
1%
KS, MI, TX
$586.4K Volume
1%
AK, OH
$308K Volume
1%
AK, TX
$373.5K Volume
1%
ME, TX
$409.1K Volume
1%
OH, TX
$235.5K Volume
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$243.9K Volume
1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$389.6K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI
$374K Volume
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH
$366K Volume
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX
$710.8K Volume
1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX
$233K Volume
1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX
$383.3K Volume
1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH
$548.8K Volume
1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX
$647.8K Volume
1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX
$506.1K Volume
1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX
$597.6K Volume
1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX
$452.2K Volume
1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$203.8K Volume
1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$363.2K Volume
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI
$616.7K Volume
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI
$361K Volume
1%
AK, IA, MI, OH
$363.7K Volume
1%
AK, IA, MI, TX
$412.8K Volume
1%
AK, IA, OH, TX
$247.4K Volume
1%
AK, KS, ME, MI
$365.2K Volume
1%
AK, KS, ME, OH
$562.8K Volume
1%
AK, KS, ME, TX
$411.2K Volume
1%
AK, KS, MI, OH
$330.1K Volume
1%
AK, KS, MI, TX
$718.8K Volume
1%
AK, ME, MI, OH
$502.6K Volume
1%
AK, ME, MI, TX
$478K Volume
1%
AK, ME, OH, TX
$366.2K Volume
1%
AK, MI, OH, TX
$400.2K Volume
1%
IA, ME, MI, OH
$259K Volume
1%
IA, ME, MI, TX
$491K Volume
1%
IA, ME, OH, TX
$229.8K Volume
1%
IA, MI, OH, TX
$184.1K Volume
1%
KS, ME, MI, OH
$335.5K Volume
1%
KS, ME, MI, TX
$342.7K Volume
1%
KS, ME, OH, TX
$372.3K Volume
1%
KS, MI, OH, TX
$231.3K Volume
1%
ME, MI, OH, TX
$227K Volume
1%
AK, IA, MI
$321.4K Volume
1%
AK, KS, MI
$402.7K Volume
1%
AK, KS, OH
$402.7K Volume
1%
AK, ME, MI
$471.3K Volume
1%
AK, ME, OH
$473.1K Volume
1%
AK, ME, TX
$336.2K Volume
1%
AK, MI, OH
$361.8K Volume
1%
AK, MI, TX
$323.7K Volume
1%
AK, OH, TX
$345.7K Volume
1%
KS, ME, MI
$362.2K Volume
1%
KS, ME, OH
$320.6K Volume
1%
KS, ME, TX
$354K Volume
1%
KS, MI, OH
$349K Volume
1%
KS, OH, TX
$274.5K Volume
1%
ME, MI, OH
$314.1K Volume
1%
ME, MI, TX
$455.4K Volume
1%
ME, OH, TX
$261.1K Volume
1%
MI, OH, TX
$303.6K Volume
1%
AK, MI
$368K Volume
1%
KS, MI
$467.4K Volume
1%
ME, MI
$344.2K Volume
1%
ME, OH
$329.5K Volume
1%
MI, OH
$341K Volume
1%
MI, TX
$489.6K Volume
1%
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)?
The current front-runner is None at 34%, ahead of IA at 10%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)?
Traders currently imply a 34% chance for None. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 3 Nov 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)?
Total traded volume on this market is $61.8M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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