This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on July 31, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
$410
$3K Volume
94%
$420
$623 Volume
98%
$430
$5 Volume
95%
$440
$100 Volume
79%
$450
$109 Volume
62%
Resolution Source: pythdata.app
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on July 31?
At 90%, $410 has pulled far clear of $420 (88%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on July 31?
With 90% implied for $410, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on July 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on July 31?
$4.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on July 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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