This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Past
$285
$81 Volume
99%
$300
$44 Volume
98%
$270
98%
$315
$109 Volume
96%
$345
$1.5K Volume
84%
$330
94%
$360
80%
$405
48%
$420
$100 Volume
39%
$435
$20 Volume
19%
$450
$153 Volume
7%
$375
98%
$390
98%
Resolution Source: finance.yahoo.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of July?
The front-runner right now is $285 at 97%, ahead of $300 at 95%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of July?
The market gives $285 a 97% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of July market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Jul 2026 (31 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of July?
Total traded volume on this market is $2.3K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of July on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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