This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
8-9m
$459 Volume
6%
9-10m
$340 Volume
19%
10-11m
$323 Volume
83%
11-12m
$103 Volume
3%
12-13m
$20 Volume
2%
<8m
$806 Volume
2%
13m+
$81 Volume
2%
Resolution Source: www.the-numbers.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for "Moana (2026)" 3rd Weekend Box Office?
The money is on 10-11m at 80%; 9-10m follows at 16%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for "Moana (2026)" 3rd Weekend Box Office?
The market makes 10-11m the favorite at 80%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the "Moana (2026)" 3rd Weekend Box Office market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 26 Jul 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on "Moana (2026)" 3rd Weekend Box Office?
$96.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade "Moana (2026)" 3rd Weekend Box Office on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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