This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Barr formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Michael Barr must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Yes is priced at 20% and No at 81%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Traders currently imply a 20% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (59 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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