This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Amir Hassan
$512 Volume
92%
Alfred Lemmo
$387 Volume
4%
Thomas J. Smith
$175 Volume
5%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MI-08 Republican Primary Winner?
At 91%, Amir Hassan has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for MI-08 Republican Primary Winner?
With 91% implied for Amir Hassan, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the MI-08 Republican Primary Winner market resolve?
Mark 4 Aug 2026 (13 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on MI-08 Republican Primary Winner?
$1.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade MI-08 Republican Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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