This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Republican Party
$22K Volume
99%
Democratic Party
$30.4K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MI-02 House Election Winner?
At 99%, Republican Party has pulled far clear of Democratic Party (1%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for MI-02 House Election Winner?
With 99% implied for Republican Party, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the MI-02 House Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (103 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on MI-02 House Election Winner?
Total turnover stands at $52.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade MI-02 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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