This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Past
<0.5%
$306 Volume
2%
0.5-1.0%
$218 Volume
8%
1.0-1.5%
$2.3K Volume
51%
1.5-2.0%
$2.4K Volume
34%
2.0-2.5%
$6.9K Volume
15%
2.5-3.0%
$434 Volume
12%
3.0-3.5%
$304 Volume
6%
3.5%+
$228 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
The current front-runner is 1.0-1.5% at 43%, ahead of 1.5-2.0% at 34%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Traders currently imply a 43% chance for 1.0-1.5%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 30 Oct 2026 (66 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $383, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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