This market will resolve according to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
<6.5%
$130 Volume
42%
6.5%-7.5%
$281 Volume
31%
7.5%-8.5%
$624 Volume
41%
8.5%-9.5%
$1.3K Volume
8%
9.5%+
$145 Volume
13%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?
The field is wide open: 7.5%-8.5% tops it at just 31%, with 6.5%-7.5% close behind at 31%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?
Right now the market's best guess is 7.5%-8.5% at 31% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Jul 2026 (8 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?
Traders have put $2.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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