Zohran Mamdani has proposed creating city owned grocery stores to combat rising prices (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the City of New York during the Mamdani administration implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify.
Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify.
Only stores that are initiated, approved, or opened during Zohran Mamdani’s mayoralty and that are described in credible reporting or official City communications as part of the “city-owned grocery store” initiative associated with his campaign platform will qualify. Grocery stores created by previous or subsequent administrations, or any other government-run or subsidized retail programs that are not reasonably attributable to the Mamdani administration’s city-owned grocery store policy, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
The market prices Yes at only 14%, with No at 86%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 14%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (163 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
$225 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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