This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
22°C or below
76%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C or higher
2%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
The current front-runner is 22°C or below at 38%, ahead of 27°C at 33%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Traders currently imply a 38% chance for 22°C or below. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 27 Aug 2026 (3 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Total traded volume on this market is $15.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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