This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
21°C or below
$4.5K Volume
1%
22°C
$7.7K Volume
1%
23°C
$4.1K Volume
1%
24°C
$5.6K Volume
99%
25°C
$12.1K Volume
1%
26°C
$11.3K Volume
1%
27°C
$3.1K Volume
1%
28°C
$2.7K Volume
1%
29°C
$2.4K Volume
1%
30°C
$2.3K Volume
1%
31°C or higher
$2.8K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 9?
24°C dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, 23°C, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 9?
With 97% implied for 24°C, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 market resolve?
Mark 9 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 9?
$64.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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