This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
22°C or below
$269 Volume
1%
23°C
$204 Volume
1%
24°C
$206 Volume
1%
25°C
$1.5K Volume
1%
26°C
$2.2K Volume
4%
27°C
$2.6K Volume
98%
28°C
$1.9K Volume
1%
29°C
$171 Volume
1%
30°C
$825 Volume
1%
31°C
$231 Volume
1%
32°C or higher
$164 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
The current front-runner is 27°C at 97%, ahead of 26°C at 3%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Traders currently imply a 97% chance for 27°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Total traded volume on this market is $15.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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