This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
14°C or below
$342 Volume
1%
15°C
$25 Volume
1%
16°C
$26 Volume
52%
17°C
52%
18°C
52%
19°C
52%
20°C
52%
21°C
$63 Volume
2%
22°C
$5 Volume
7%
23°C
$135 Volume
4%
24°C or higher
$74 Volume
67%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Even the leader is cheap - 24°C or higher trades at 34%, 16°C at 28%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Right now the market's best guess is 24°C or higher at 34% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Lowest temperature in Milan on August 25 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Milan on August 25?
$4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Milan on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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