LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC (Resolved)

The second leg of this Copa Libertadores Round of 16 tie, played at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in Quito on August 20, featured LDU Quito hosting Mirassol with the aggregate level at 1-1 after the first-leg draw. Traders priced the draw outcome near-certain due to LDU’s strong home record at altitude, Mirassol’s documented struggles on the road, and the knockout context favoring a low-event, tactical approach over open play. Both sides’ recent form showed defensive organization, with limited scoring output and few high-quality chances created in similar away fixtures for the Brazilian side. A 0-0 result aligned with that consensus before advancing to penalties, where LDU prevailed 5-4; only an early red card, major tactical shift, or dramatic late goal would have realistically altered the market’s heavy draw weighting in real time.