This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
$16B
$26.2K Volume
13%
$18B
$31.4K Volume
14%
$20B
$17.9K Volume
7%
$22B
$12.3K Volume
8%
$24B
$17.9K Volume
10%
$26B
$11.8K Volume
6%
$28B
$19.8K Volume
4%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___?
Even the leader is cheap - $18B trades at 12%, $16B at 11%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___?
No strong consensus yet: $18B tops the implied probabilities at just 12%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (131 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___?
Total turnover stands at $137.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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