This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Republican candidate wins at least five of the following 2026 midterm Senate elections.
This market will resolve to “No” if a Republican candidate wins four or fewer of the following 2026 midterm Senate elections.
The relevant elections are the elections for US senator from Texas, Iowa, Kansas, Alaska, Michigan and Ohio.
A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Midterms
· Politics
Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)?
Yes is priced at 7% and No at 93%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)?
Traders currently imply a 7% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH) market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Nov 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)?
Total traded volume on this market is $9.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH) on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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