This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Past
<50.0
92%
50.0–50.9
83%
51.0–51.9
95%
52.0–52.9
94%
53.0–53.9
33%
54.0–54.9
34%
55.0–55.9
27%
56.0–56.9
89%
57.0–57.9
94%
58.0+
96%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for ISM Services PMI - July 2026?
No runaway leader here - 58.0+ at 50% versus 51.0–51.9 at 49%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for ISM Services PMI - July 2026?
Traders give 58.0+ a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the ISM Services PMI - July 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 5 Aug 2026 (25 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How can I trade ISM Services PMI - July 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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