Politics · Elections

IA-02 House Election Winner

$6.4K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
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Republican Party
$3.4K Volume
57%
Democratic Party
$3.1K Volume
42%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for IA-02 House Election Winner?
It's a genuine race: Republican Party edges the field at 57%, barely ahead of Democratic Party at 41%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for IA-02 House Election Winner?
At 57% implied for Republican Party, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the IA-02 House Election Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (102 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on IA-02 House Election Winner?
Traders have put $6.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade IA-02 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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