Iran · Hormuz

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

$5.7K Volume
10/05/2026 00:00
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<25
$70.8K Volume
99%
75-99
$18.7K Volume
1%
50-74
$19.2K Volume
1%
25-49
$68.5K Volume
1%
100+
$38.2K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 4, 2026, through May 10, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Odds & FAQ

When does the How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4 market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?
Total turnover stands at $5.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

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