How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

The prediction market for the number of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz this week (April 13-19, 2026) currently reflects a low probability of 0.1%, with a trading volume of $271,000. This market is significant as it hinges on the total transit calls reported by IMF Portwatch, highlighting the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz for global shipping and energy supplies. Monitoring this market provides insights into maritime trends and potential geopolitical implications in a region critical for oil transportation.