This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 20, 2026, through April 26, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this marketโs timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)
rewards 200, 4.5, 20
Oil
Hormuz
tanker
Geopolitics
Yes Probability
13%
No Probability
87%
Trading Volume
$145.9K
Time Remaining
5 days left
25-49
$3.3K Volume
33%
75-99
$2.2K Volume
18%
150+
$12.5K Volume
11%
50-74
$2.1K Volume
13%
<25
$5.8K Volume
13%
100-124
$2.4K Volume
6%
125-149
$2.6K Volume
5%