Weather · climate

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

$4.6K Volume
31/12/2026 23:59
market.mkt_cta_label
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0
$1.7K Volume
15%
1-3
$1.4K Volume
39%
4-6
$928 Volume
40%
7+
$471 Volume
11%

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".

A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.

This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
The current front-runner is 1-3 at 39%, ahead of 4-6 at 38%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 39% chance for 1-3. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $4.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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