This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
25°C or below
$1.4K Volume
1%
26°C
$2.4K Volume
1%
27°C
$2.6K Volume
1%
28°C
$729 Volume
1%
29°C
$1.7K Volume
1%
30°C
$2K Volume
1%
31°C
$6.9K Volume
1%
32°C
$5.6K Volume
1%
33°C
$4.9K Volume
95%
34°C
$4.2K Volume
6%
35°C or higher
$4.8K Volume
2%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
At 95%, 33°C has pulled far clear of 34°C (5%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
With 95% implied for 33°C, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 24 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
Total turnover stands at $56.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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