This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
63°F or below
$239 Volume
1%
64-65°F
$424 Volume
1%
66-67°F
$1.1K Volume
2%
68-69°F
$734 Volume
10%
70-71°F
$2.1K Volume
38%
72-73°F
$1.7K Volume
43%
74-75°F
$2.2K Volume
12%
76-77°F
$1.2K Volume
1%
78-79°F
$1.2K Volume
1%
80-81°F
$1.2K Volume
1%
82°F or higher
$381 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
The current front-runner is 72-73°F at 43%, ahead of 70-71°F at 38%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
Traders currently imply a 43% chance for 72-73°F. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
Total traded volume on this market is $42.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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