This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
24°C or below
$1.9K Volume
1%
25°C
$989 Volume
1%
26°C
$2.7K Volume
1%
27°C
$20.4K Volume
1%
28°C
$95.8K Volume
98%
29°C
$27.1K Volume
4%
30°C
$22.8K Volume
1%
31°C
$14K Volume
1%
32°C
$14.5K Volume
1%
33°C
$10.6K Volume
1%
34°C or higher
$7K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
28°C dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, 29°C, trades at just 3%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
Traders price 28°C at a 97% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14 market resolve?
Mark 14 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
Traders have put $249.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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