This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
22°C or below
$912 Volume
1%
23°C
$381 Volume
1%
24°C
$997 Volume
1%
25°C
$17.1K Volume
1%
26°C
$26K Volume
1%
27°C
$34.4K Volume
65%
28°C
$24K Volume
36%
29°C
$29.6K Volume
5%
30°C
$30.6K Volume
1%
31°C
$20.5K Volume
1%
32°C or higher
$16.6K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
It's a genuine race: 27°C edges the field at 64%, barely ahead of 28°C at 34%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Traders give 27°C a 64% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3 market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Total turnover stands at $277.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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