This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
24°C or below
$1.8K Volume
1%
25°C
$802 Volume
1%
26°C
$1.6K Volume
1%
27°C
$18.9K Volume
1%
28°C
$43.9K Volume
1%
29°C
$29.9K Volume
1%
30°C
$27.2K Volume
1%
31°C
$47.3K Volume
99%
32°C
$35K Volume
1%
33°C
$17.3K Volume
1%
34°C or higher
$13.6K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
31°C dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 33°C, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
With 99% implied for 31°C, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 21 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
$245.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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