This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
25°C or below
$198 Volume
1%
26°C
$310 Volume
1%
27°C
$898 Volume
1%
28°C
$1.4K Volume
1%
29°C
$2.2K Volume
1%
30°C
$2.6K Volume
4%
31°C
$1.4K Volume
5%
32°C
$1.9K Volume
15%
33°C
$522 Volume
29%
34°C
$1.5K Volume
28%
35°C or higher
$2.2K Volume
30%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Even the leader is cheap - 35°C or higher trades at 28%, 33°C at 27%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Right now the market's best guess is 35°C or higher at 28% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25 market resolve?
The market runs until 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Traders have put $72.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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