This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
71°F or below
$827 Volume
1%
72-73°F
$253 Volume
1%
74-75°F
$265 Volume
1%
76-77°F
$326 Volume
6%
78-79°F
$1.1K Volume
40%
80-81°F
$810 Volume
48%
82-83°F
$349 Volume
11%
84-85°F
$378 Volume
3%
86-87°F
$1.5K Volume
1%
88-89°F
$233 Volume
1%
90°F or higher
$213 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
No runaway leader here - 80-81°F at 48% versus 78-79°F at 40%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
Traders give 80-81°F a 48% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
Total turnover stands at $40.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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