This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
35°C or below
$4.2K Volume
1%
36°C
$6K Volume
1%
37°C
$7.1K Volume
5%
38°C
$7.9K Volume
17%
39°C
$6.2K Volume
44%
40°C
$7.5K Volume
27%
41°C
$12.2K Volume
8%
42°C
$9.1K Volume
1%
43°C
$3.1K Volume
1%
44°C
$344 Volume
1%
45°C or higher
$294 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 24?
The field is wide open: 39°C tops it at just 42%, with 40°C close behind at 26%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 24?
No strong consensus yet: 39°C tops the implied probabilities at just 42%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 24 market resolve?
The market runs until 24 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 24?
$136.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 24 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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