This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
30°C or below
$870 Volume
1%
31°C
$279 Volume
1%
32°C
$136 Volume
1%
33°C
$1.3K Volume
2%
34°C
$1.4K Volume
5%
35°C
$1.2K Volume
17%
36°C
$2.9K Volume
31%
37°C
$1.1K Volume
34%
38°C
$750 Volume
15%
39°C
$877 Volume
1%
40°C or higher
$22 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
The field is wide open: 37°C tops it at just 34%, with 36°C close behind at 31%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
Right now the market's best guess is 37°C at 34% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 25 market resolve?
The market runs until 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
Total turnover stands at $75.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 25 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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